Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.281520 4.735847 5.220557 5.776650 6.397617 7.070373 7.855360
2026-01-11 3.527558 4.133965 4.822323 5.663476 6.666243 7.826605 9.275752
2026-01-18 2.944347 3.629537 4.450933 5.512509 6.854484 8.502760 10.693329
2026-01-25 2.492498 3.215520 4.126026 5.364405 7.016535 9.161021 12.181881
2026-02-01 2.140449 2.877650 3.848588 5.232521 7.173184 9.825363 13.771809
2026-02-08 1.860513 2.597136 3.607936 5.112272 7.321642 10.490065 15.454789
2026-02-15 1.650188 2.384967 3.432311 5.055161 7.544474 11.280867 17.431582
2026-02-22 1.514925 2.262757 3.367945 5.147784 7.994616 12.460725 20.175753
2026-03-01 1.367839 2.104845 3.230365 5.107949 8.228860 13.329139 22.544342
2026-03-08 1.217113 1.923946 3.035926 4.951364 8.249225 13.845218 24.385831
2026-03-15 1.109917 1.800273 2.917755 4.903192 8.440314 14.666634 26.884048
2026-03-22 1.044837 1.738247 2.892727 5.007887 8.906647 16.026777 30.586840
2026-03-29 0.981411 1.674021 2.859677 5.099188 9.369754 17.462023 34.714181
2026-04-05 0.912356 1.592901 2.788576 5.112606 9.688711 18.668908 38.591548
2026-04-12 0.840797 1.500096 2.686843 5.056189 9.864315 19.617317 42.089441
2026-04-19 0.773979 1.409377 2.579590 4.976143 9.981314 20.461073 45.505294
2026-04-26 0.713940 1.325552 2.476814 4.892689 10.079564 21.277395 49.003190
2026-05-03 0.659939 1.248185 2.378785 4.807351 10.161984 22.069227 52.585218
2026-05-10 0.616863 1.188136 2.308884 4.772505 10.349692 23.123154 57.009602
2026-05-17 0.591607 1.161179 2.302661 4.872960 10.854579 24.985785 63.868390
2026-05-24 0.555987 1.109856 2.241312 4.844875 11.057182 26.152734 69.097976
2026-05-31 0.513282 1.040136 2.134928 4.703482 10.971304 26.593569 72.401500
2026-06-07 0.483064 0.994167 2.075078 4.662452 11.124883 27.663983 77.719486